Muswellbrook Preview & Best Bets – Friday March 10

Muswellbrook Preview & Best Bets – 05/04/2024

 

Muswellbrook Tips 10/03/2023

Our form expert provides Muswellbrook tips for today’s horse racing at Muswellbrook Racecourse and gives his best bets.

 

BEST BET 🏆

Race 6:  No.7  SUMPTUARY  ($1.75 with bet365)

The Paul Messara-trained SUMPTUARY has a lot of upside about her and she looks the best of the day. Last start, the Snitzel filly came off her debut win on this track when she lined-up in a strong Class 2 Hwy Hcp over 1000m at Randwick. That day, she had little luck in the run home and did well to take home third prize behind Mongo Magic. She ran the trip out, 3.9 lengths quicker than benchmark, new personal best for her and more than 9 lengths quicker than here rivals in this contest. She also recorded the fastest final 600m, 400m and 200m sectionals for that race. Down in grade here and back to country class competition, surely just bad luck robs her of victory today.

 

NEXT BEST 🥈

Race 4:  No.2  SMART SHOT  ($5.50 with Ladbrokes)

The Cody Morgan-trained SMART SHOT is third-up today and looks a real chance with changing conditions here. Last start, the Smart Missile gelding came off a first-up minor placing when he stepped up to Class 2 company and finished down the track that day in the 1200m contest at Tamworth. He ran his last 600m, 2.2 lengths slower than benchmark that day, still the best effort in this field. Morgan steps him up in distance today and takes the winkers off for the first time. Grant Buckley has been aboard for three of the galloper’s four race starts to date and has the job again today. Dropping in grade here, the longer trip might be what he needs now and with a trouble-free run today, he can play a role in the finish.

 

BEST VALUE 💰 

Race 2:  No.3  SCARZEL  ($6 with Neds)

Scone-based galloper SCARZEL is second-up today and ticks enough boxes here to stake claims for victory in this contest. Last start, the Snitzel gelding fought on strongly to just miss a podium finish, taking home fourth prize in a BM58 over 1000m at Tamworth. Beaten less than a length that day, he ran the trip out, 4 lengths slower than benchmark, still the best last-start effort here by more than 5 lengths. Drawn nicely in gate four today, he welcomes a new rider with Grant Buckley taking the reins and already a second-up winner, the four-year-old looks a strong winning chance in this field.