Pinjarra Racing Tips 22 March — Is Pike the edge again?
Sunshine Coast Racing Tips 22 March — can Kendrick own the card?
Sunshine Coast Racing Tips 22 March — can Kendrick own the card?
There’s a very specific reason I’m leaning into this Sunshine Coast meeting: S W Kendrick has three live runners across the middle of the program, and the stable’s track record is the sort you can actually lean on. Kendrick has sent 42 runners to this course for 6 wins and 21 placings — that’s enough volume to treat it as a real pattern, not a one-off stat.
That’s the spine of today’s Sunshine Coast racing tips: find the races where Kendrick’s runners can control the map or bully the grade, and avoid getting cute in the thin-form maidens where you’re guessing off one run (or none). It’s a four-race card on the turf, mostly short-course racing, which means barrier and intent matter more than ever — you don’t get long to recover if you miss the kick or land three-wide.
No odds feed was available at publish time, so this is a pure form-and-map preview. If the market opens with one of the Kendrick horses drifting against the story the map is telling, that’s where the bet gets interesting.
Sunshine Coast — the setup
The track angle today isn’t some mystical rail position theory — it’s simply that we’ve got limited meaningful course history across most fields. A lot of these runners have either never been here, or they’ve been here once or twice. That’s a note, not a trend.
Where the course numbers do bite is with the people: a handful of jockeys ride this joint often enough to trust their percentages, and Kendrick’s stable has the sample size to call it properly. Ben Thompson also stands out as the rider you want on your side when the race turns tactical — he rides the Sunshine Coast better than most.
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| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Thompson | 37 | 8 | 21 | 21.62 | 56.76 |
| Angela Jones | 11 | 3 | 7 | 27.27 | 63.64 |
| Cody Collis | 29 | 6 | 21 | 20.69 | 72.41 |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M A Currie | 44 | 12 | 26 | 27.27 | 59.09 |
| S W Kendrick | 42 | 6 | 21 | 14.29 | 50.00 |
| Jack Bruce | 32 | 6 | 18 | 18.75 | 56.25 |
Race-by-race — Sunshine Coast predictions
Race 1: Carney’s Feedstores Gympie & Murgon Mdn Plate — 12:24, 1203m
I’m with Worththeadmission. Debutants in these 2YO races can make mugs of all of us, but the stable-and-rider combination is usually the cleanest guide, and the Munce camp doubles up here with real intent. Martin Harley is the sort of booking that says “we’re here to win, not to educate”, and barrier 5 looks ideal at 1200 around this track — close enough to hold a spot without being forced to burn early.
The obvious danger is the stablemate Langan off the one run of experience. He’s already had a look at race day, draws 4, and gets Kyle Wilson-Taylor, who’s positive enough in these sprints to put them in the race from the jump. If Langan steps cleanly, he’s the one that can turn this into a proper contest rather than a “first to the fence wins” affair.
I’m not knocking Spirit Of Torque (gate 1) or Zandari (gate 3) either — they both look like they’ll get economical runs — but with thin exposed form across the field, I’d rather follow the Munce intent than try to be a hero off a single finishing position.
Staking: Small win bet Worththeadmission. If you’re playing exotics, save with Langan running top two.
Race 2: Tiaro Meats & Bacon Mdn Plate — 12:59, 1531m
The puzzle here is simple: who gets the run, and who gets the right part of the track when they peel out? I’ve landed on Clive’s Glory because the profile screams “ready to hold a position and fight”: he’s a 3YO with a bit of foundation (65-3), draws 2, and gets Cejay Graham who will use that barrier and not overcomplicate it.
I want to be clear on the jockey stat though: Graham’s overall Sunshine Coast win rate is low despite plenty of rides. That doesn’t stop me backing this horse — it just means I’m backing the barrier-and-trajectory, not pretending the rider is some track cheat code.
The danger is Trofeo (gate 7) from the Vandyke yard. Ron Stewart is a plus booking and he wins a third of his rides at this track (small sample, but it’s 3 rides, so still not gospel). Trofeo has also managed to place here once from two course visits — again, a note, not a label — but it’s enough to say he won’t hate the venue.
I can’t ignore Neighthan either from gate 1. With no exposed form on the page, it’s the type of runner you watch closely in the yard and in early betting. But as a betting race, I’d rather side with the one that has at least shown something late last prep.
Staking: Win bet Clive’s Glory. Trofeo as the saver if you want insurance.
Race 3: Scanlans Engineering Bundaberg (Bm72) — 13:34, 1094m
This is the best betting race on the card because it’s the one where you can line up map, grade, and course evidence without squinting. Admitted is my play.
He’s drawn 1, which matters over 1094m when the race can be half over by the time they straighten. He also comes in with genuine “now” form (263-41) — that’s a horse that’s found the winning habit, not one that needs everything to go right. And he’s already won on his only start at Sunshine Coast. One run doesn’t make him a specialist, but it does tell you he handles the place and the tempo that often comes with these short-course races.
The other piece I like is the rider: Ben Thompson. He rides this track as well as anyone, and he lands them in the right spot more often than not. When you’ve got the inside alley and a jockey who’s happy to own the first 400m, you can make your own luck.
The danger is Primary Witness. Forget the weight on paper — he carries only 122.3, and that can be a weapon in a benchmark sprint if the pace is solid. The form line (19181-) says he’s got a turn of foot when conditions suit. If Admitted gets cluttered up behind a slowing leader, Primary Witness is the one most likely to sweep over the top.
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Staking: Win bet Admitted. Exacta saver Admitted / Primary Witness if you’re playing that way.
Race 4: Happy Birthday Rick Elliott Hcp (C1) — 14:09, 1094m
The market will probably gravitate to Spies On because the form is clean and the stable is right in the meeting narrative — and I’m not fighting it. Spies On goes in my book on two lines: he’s 2-from-2 for placings at Sunshine Coast and he arrives off a sharp little preparation start (21). That’s the profile of a horse that can either lead or sit outside the lead and still find when asked.
Barrier 10 is the catch. Over 1094m you don’t want to be doing work early, so Thompson’s job is to slide across without spending petrol. If he can find cover, Spies On looks the clear horse to beat.
The danger is Call To Courage (gate 12) because he brings the “hard fit” angle: 2831-2 says he returned in the same sort of nick he left in. Kyle Wilson-Taylor can be aggressive when he needs to be, and if he presses forward and the inside runs a touch slow, Call To Courage can pinch it while others are still looking for runs.
I’m keeping one more onside at odds if they appear: Bellove from gate 2. He’s a 3YO, gets a soft run, and you can make a case that he maps better than both of the top two. The form reads ugly at a glance (06510-), but the gate gives him every possible chance to run a race.
Staking: Spies On to win if he’s not silly-short. If the price collapses, I’d rather play a smaller win bet and have something on Bellove each-way.
The plays
NAP: Admitted (Race 3, 13:34). Gate one over 1094m with a rider who wins plenty here is the sort of combination you don’t overthink. He’s already proven he can win at this course, and the recent form says he’s still improving.
Value: Bellove (Race 4, 14:09). If the market fixates on Spies On and Call To Courage from the wide gates, Bellove’s soft draw becomes the value angle — the kind of runner that can look plain on paper but land in the first four without spending a cent.
Banker for multis: Spies On (Race 4). Two course visits for two placings gives you a reliable “turn up” profile, and Kendrick’s overall Sunshine Coast record is strong enough to trust across a big sample.
Each-way: Trofeo (Race 2). He’s shown he can run into the frame here, and the Vandyke/Stewart combination is the type that often improves with racing.
Course angle to keep: Kendrick doesn’t need to dominate a meeting to be profitable here — he just needs runners placed in the right races, and he does that often enough at Sunshine Coast to keep following.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Sunshine Coast today?
Race 1 at Sunshine Coast jumps at 12:24 (Carney’s Feedstores Gympie & Murgon Mdn Plate, 1203m).
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Sunshine Coast?
On the numbers with real sample size, M A Currie leads the trainer stats at this track from today’s list (44 runners for 12 wins and 26 placings). Among riders, Ben Thompson has the volume and results to trust (37 rides for 8 wins and 21 placings), while Cody Collis has an outstanding place strike (29 rides for 21 placings).
What are the best bets at Sunshine Coast today?
My Sunshine Coast best bets are Admitted in Race 3 (draw 1, coming off a win and already a course winner) and Spies On in Race 4 (placed in both Sunshine Coast runs and arrives with a sharp 2-from-2 preparation start profile).
Where can I find the best odds for Sunshine Coast races?
Shop around with the major bookies once markets open — prices can move quickly in short-course races like today’s 1094m events (Races 3 and 4). At publish time, no bookmaker odds feed was available for this meeting, so check your preferred bookie’s early market and compare before you bet.
What’s the one track stat that matters most on this card?
If you’re leaning on one course stat, make it the big-sample stable: S W Kendrick has had 42 runners at Sunshine Coast for 6 wins and 21 placings, and the yard features prominently again today with runners like Admitted (R3) and Spies On (R4).
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