Kilmore Tips January 12

  • Best Bets and Horses To Back at Kilmore
Kilmore Races

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Race 2 is a Maiden and DIAMONDS’N’STONES should be too good for his rivals here. The Team Hawkes galloper is set to start at short odds and might be worth popping into multi’s. He has placed in three of four with those coming on Soft tracks, including one on debut at Geelong. He battled when resuming at Moonee Valley but was solid in a strong ratings race at Sandown on December 23 when 3rd behind Rising Sphere. On that occasion, he sped to the lead from the wide draw and was taken on a long way from home but kept fighting to the line to miss out by a length. The son of Brazen Beau went nearly four lengths faster than standard benchmark, which is better than what any other runner has produced. He has again drawn wide but Noel Callow should be able to slot in without burning too much fuel early on and the pair can edge clear late in the piece.

The three-year-olds step out in Race 3 of the day and HAI SUN shapes as a player at the each-way odds. The Mitchell Freedman-trained galloper has attracted a little bit of support in the early betting and made her debut at Geelong over the 1112m just before Christmas, finishing 4th behind Retrovailles. In that race, the daughter of Fighting Sun settled last in the field of 10 before producing the best late splits in the race to finish three lengths away. While they went pretty slow overall (5.6 lengths slower than standard), she did go more than six lengths faster than the next best last start figures of any other runner, while she should be open to improvement at her second career start. Any pace in the race will help her cause and from barrier 1 she can save plenty of ground.

This should be a bit of an easy kill for REBEL RACER at his first run this summer. The sticking point might be the 63.5kg but the Mark Kavanagh-trained galloper does have a massive class edge on this lot and placed in three starts at his last campaign, while he produced a couple of handy races in town. He was put away for a spell after finishing last of seven runners behind High Emocean and Persan in July over the 2400m but his form over the shorter trips earlier on was solid. The four-year-old resumed with a 3rd placing over the 1300m at Sandown in a Benchmark 64 in April, going 2.7 lengths slower than standard, while at his other career first up run he went 1.7 lengths slower when runner up at Sandown over the 1200m. He has gone faster than standard benchmark in five of his past eight career runs and the only other horse that has ventured into the positive territory in the past two years is Just Stellar, who went 0.7 lengths faster in a run back in March last year.

 

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